Category: Tech

November, 2014

November, 2014

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About

June, 2014

I wonder if the rumour about the 12.9 inch iPad might not be the whole story, or even the correct story. There is a good chance the rumor is correct. However, here are a few possibilities I thought up of what Apple could do. Maybe this is more wishful thinking on my own part. Ideas that have been going on in my mind of what could happen next with iOS, tablets, laptops, and mobile computers.

As I mentioned in an earlier article, I think it's possible that smaller 8 and 7 inch tablets could become much more popular. If that happens, 10 inch and larger tablets could fall out of favour. Or more likely, the role of the laptop and tablet could change for some people, and merge into a single device. So, what are some other options of what the 12.9 inch iPad rumour could really be? And what are some options that Apple could consider in the future for the design of iPads, MacBooks, and other portable computers.

1. A New iPad With Built-in Keyboard. iBook?

Could it be possible that Apple has seen how popular keyboard accessories are for the iPad? Maybe they feel an extra accessory is a poor experience and they could offer a larger "iPad" which is actually a laptop? What I'm saying is this would not be either an iPad or a convertible tablet. It would simply be a laptop form factor with a keyboard that cannot be disconnected. A 13 inch laptop with a keyboard that runs iOS. It could be superlight. It would have crazy battery life. If they kept the same resolution it would still have a PPI of 200, which isn't perfect but is still much higher than laptops. They could even bring back the old name of the "iBook".

Separately, what if even though a keyboard was attached you could still stand the computer on its side to put it in portrait. You could swivel the keyboard backward and behind the device so it stands up with the display facing you. The keyboard would be at the rear of the device and turned off. You could kind of lay it in your lap in portrait mode too. Maybe it would allow the full yoga form factor where you can also swivel it all the way around. Though I bet Apple might not do that unless they had a second LCD where the keyboard normally is so it doesn't feel weird holding it with the keys facing out. I wouldn't expect an LCD keyboard/touchpad with better predictive text input at this point yet.

2. A MacBook Air With Retina Display

So Apple is making a 12.9 inch iPad and people assume it must be true. Maybe it's as simple as that. However, what if it is "just" the next version of the MacBook Air with a retina display. Both changing the display size to make it a little smaller than the 13.3 inch version, and offering only one display size could be a possibility instead of the 11 inch version. Maybe a bit of bigger redesign and some new features is also possible. I'm not sure if the MacBook Air ever really had a big redesign since it was introduced in 2008.

3. A MacBook Air With Touch Screen

Many people would say this is very unlikely and I suppose it is. However, I still think it's very possible that touch screens will come to all laptop and mobile computers. Yes, it's uncomfortable to reach out and touch a desktop monitor like Windows 8 tried to get you to do. But reaching to touch a laptop screen that is on your lap or just above it on a desk makes sense.

4. A Macbook With A New Touch Centric OS X

What if Apple does like the idea of using touch on laptops but not on desktops? How would they make this happen without the poor experience of just slapping a touch screen on top of regular desktop Mac OS X? One option could be to slightly change Mac OS X to make a laptop version that is touch centric. They could allow regular Mac OS X applications to still run on these new touch screen MacBooks. But a new UI specification would be created for laptop applications kind of like how iOS for iPad was slightly different from the UI of the iPhone. Eventually developers would write to this new UI type and all desktop OS X applications would be written in it. This would be a way of making Mac OS X able to support touch on laptops without adding support for a touch screen to iMacs and Mac displays, while improving the UI of Mac OS X to be more touch friendly and like iOS.

5. A Macbook With OS X On ARM

Not that all of these aren't unlikely, but this guess is probably very unlikely this early on. It will happen at sometime probably though. The title pretty much says it all. My guess is Apple will probably port and release Mac OS X on ARM now that ARM is 64 bit. If and when that happens it will be a big deal, like when they switched from Power PC to Intel. So that announcement would really be the important one and would possibly supersede the announcement of a 12.9 Macbook with OS X on ARM.

6. A MacBook Air With Both OS X And iOS On ARM

Even crazier, they could have the next version of the MacBook Air run both OS X and iOS. In this case, the new MacBook Air would obviously have a touch screen. A button on the keyboard or a gesture could switch between OS X and iOS. Maybe tilting the screen back to a certain degree could switch it to iOS. And maybe like in my first guess you could stand the device on its side and when you turn it beyond 180 degrees to this portrait mode it automatically switches to iOS mode.

Conclusion

So the rumour was a 12.9 inch iPad, possibly with a 4K resolution. But I have found that people often take some of these rumours as being all or nothing. Sometimes a rumour has been possibly right about something but missing the exact result. These are some possible guesses I had of things Apple could possibly do that involve a 12.9 inch screen. All these are just guesses and thoughts but the rumour of a 12.9 inch made me think of these. Wouldn't it be cool if I somehow guessed the way they go with any of these?

Rumor: Apple considering 12.9-inch iPads with 2K and 4K resolutions for 2014 launch

Steve Jobs was quoted as saying 'I think PCs are going to be like trucks. Fewer people will need them.' It seems to be happening. However, in my mind there has been a significant evolution of the tablet landscape in the first 4 years since the iPad's introduction. And I believe this may have a bigger impact than we currently realize on what role tablets and PCs will play for people in the future, and what other PCs or devices we may use.

It might be obvious at this point, but to me it's looking more and more like tablets that you can easily hold in one hand will become the future of tablets, while larger tablets will merge with laptops and also include a detachable or even an attached keyboard. This means tablets of about 8 or 9 inches, but not nearly as wide as the original 9.7 inch iPad. And certainly not larger screen sizes of 12 or 14 inches that are used for laptops with keyboards built-in. Instead, these larger 10 to 14 inch tablets will merge with laptops, while tablets of 8 or 9 inches will really be the largest pure tablet size. Again, phones and pure tablets will be devices you can hold comfortably in one hand. Larger "tablets" or laptops will more likely include a keyboard, unlike the original 9.7" iPad.

If this happens, it could mean that a tablet may not be as good at completely replacing a PC or laptop as some people were hoping. Basically, as smaller tablets become more popular, it becomes more likely that more people may also need a laptop or desktop PC with a keyboard, even if it also includes a touch screen like a tablet. Meaning, the small tablet may not be their only device, and may not have a large enough screen and keyboard to do everything they need their main computer to do.

When the 9.7 inch iPad was created we couldn't have known exactly how it was going to be used. What all could you use it for? What couldn't you use it for? Would it replace a laptop? Would you use a keyboard? How easy would it be to hold in one hand? If tablets are cars, maybe the original 9.7 inch iPad could be the Ford Model T. Not changed significantly for a while but eventually being phased out. Maybe a better comparison would be the large-sized cars of the 60s to 90s that many people drove. Those models of cars are still useful but were eventually replaced for everyone by smaller cars. Maybe this happened when it was realized that if you didn't have a truck or a minivan, that the extra bit of room didn't bring much value over a slightly smaller and cheaper car for what you needed it to do.

There are many reasons why 8 inch tablets that you can hold easier may become the de facto standard and 10 inch tablets will become much less used. The success of 7 inch Android tablets. The ease of use of smaller e-book readers. The introduction of the iPad mini with retina display. The failure of Windows 8 to create the everything laptop and tablet hybrid with one unified operating system. The rumours about the next versions of Windows putting more emphasis on the desktop interface again, presumably for laptops and desktops. The fact that Google has not tried to make Android a desktop OS. The trend for phones with much larger screen sizes so that people might not need a phone and a tablet. Maybe most importantly, having a tablet, phone, or other mobile devices you can easily hold and carry in one hand has turned out to have many advantages over larger tablets like the original iPad with its 10 inch 4:3 screen.

It might not be exactly what Steve Jobs wanted, but sometimes you just can't know how people will use what you create. It often evolves and through trial, error, and use by actual people you mold it into something useful. Turns out, that new mold might be a slightly smaller 8 inch tablet that can fit in your hand, or a larger "tablet" that is more like a laptop computer and has a physical keyboard. And with a keyboard and a larger screen you are blurring the lines between whether it is a car, or is actually a truck that is just easier to use.

So if I'm correct, we've found out by trial and error between Apple, Microsoft, and Google what the best size of a tablet is. You can hold it in your hand easily and type on it with your thumbs. To me, the biggest effect of this is that more people who tried to buy 10 inch iPad tablets or 12 inch Windows 8 tablets as a do it all laptop replacement will start to buy more 8 inch tablets. Many of these people will still need a truck. A laptop or a desktop PC with a screen larger than 8 inches, and a keyboard and stand built-in. It will likely include a touch screen like a tablet and simpler software like a tablet. But with a larger screen and an attached keyboard it might be just as much a laptop as it is a tablet, or just as much a truck as it is a car.

Even though we get used to the fast paced way that software gets updated, it can be hard to understand at times. Sometimes I look at some decisions on software support and wonder why it's so different than other industries. I wonder why it has to continue to move so quickly and not allow for standards that can be agreed upon or last long enough to become common, platforms that exist for more than about 3 years, devices that exist for more than about 2 years, or software that exists in a similar form for more than about 1 year. For instance, the following.

Google Apps has dropped support for IE9. IE 9 was released on March 14th, 2011, just 2 and a half years ago. IE9 isn't even installed on Windows 7, but is an upgrade to IE 8. And Windows 7 is the most used OS in the world and was released on October 22nd 2009, just 4 years ago. What this means is that over 90% of the people who have a PC or notebook need to update their built in web browser to run Google Apps. Forget about people on even older operating systems like Windows XP, who can't update their browser to IE 10.

I understand that software within an OS, and even an OS can often be updated easily and freely. And even operating systems are now being updated freely and somewhat easily in many cases. Both Windows Update and App Stores on mobile devices were great advances in the software industry. But why is everyone being "forced" to update so quickly?

Being a tech junkie and software developer I like new features, getting new software, and playing around with cool new apps. But even for me, the speed at which software is getting updated is now creating more negatives than positives in many cases.

Why do standards and platforms have to change so often? Why can't the computer that you or your grandma bought last year with Windows 7 and IE 8 work to run Google Apps and other websites properly? Why do you or her "have" to update to a new browser, which is essentially a built in OS for the web, just to make sure your online email works correctly?

Being a tech junkie and software developer I like new features, getting new software, and playing around with cool new apps. But even for me, the speed at which software is getting updated is now creating more negatives than positives in many cases. It's just moving too quickly to be useful at times, where you "have" to update and can't even choose to use your older software and apps that worked fine. Apps that ran quickly on your device, that had no new bugs introduced, did everything you needed, and that you had learned to use all of its features easily because the interface didn't change.

So I can understand what normal people think. People that bought a new PC a year ago. People who log in to check their email and see that not only has their email completely changed its interface and features, which is frustrating enough. But that they also need to update their "browser" just for it to work. The result is that their email runs slowly now because IE 11 is on their old computer, and that they can't figure out how to reply to an email because the interface and features have all changed. Or worse yet, they need to get a new computer just to check their email properly.

Google Apps dropping support for IE9

• I think Apple might have messed up with the new design of the iPhone 5 and iPod Touch.
• The one thing they really needed to update after 5 years was the screen size, and I don’t think they did that correctly.
• It should have a 1280x720 screen from 4.3 to 4.6 inches and there should be no home button on the front.
• They needed to change the design and screen more, making the screen cover most of the device.
• The home button could be a button on the side.
• Yes it would hurt compatibility with old apps a bit more, but they would still run.
• And this is finally the device they made with a bigger screen.
• The new design feels half-hearted with just the longer 4.0 inch screen.
• They really needed to make a bigger change.
• And why not move to a more common resolution like 1280x720 when finally making the screen larger.
• A much larger screen covering most of the device and no home button is what they needed to do in my opinion.

Here are 5 predictions for Apple hardware and devices that could be released this year at various Apple events. I'm leaving out any thoughts about an Apple TV, partly because my guess is that it still might not come this year.

1. iPhone 5

Apple releases iPhone 5 in July with 4.6 inch screen and all new 1280 x 720 resolution display with new aspect ratio and curved glass. If they keep the same aspect ratio as the iPhone 4, the resolution would be something like 1200 x 800. Either resolution would have 300+ ppi display, which is similar to the iPhone 4. Previous iPhone apps would work at their original resolution covering only 3.5 inches of the screen and all new apps for iOS 6 would fill the screen. 4.0 inch display for the iPhone with the same 960 x 640 resolution is my second, more realistic guess, and much more likely.

2. iPod Touch 5G

iPod Touch released in September with same sized screen as iPhone 5 and a 3-5 megapixel camera. Possibly renamed to simply iPod. Likely won't happen but could finally get GPS and 3G version with some kind of data plan or new type of 3G plan that pleases carriers enough to make some money off iPod users while encouraging most people to still get an iPhone because of LTE or better and more powerful cell plan features.

3. iWatch 1G

iWatch 1G is released in September with iPod Nano OS and possibly a curved glass screen. It will have Bluetooth 4.0 which allows it to work with iPhone and other iOS or Mac devices in interesting ways and will focus on some built in fitness features. I've thought for years that Apple would get into the watch business and this could be the year. Good chance it may not happen until 2013 though and the Nano stays around for another year or two.

4. New iMac

The new iMac is introduced in the summer with Mountain Lion OS X and a new slimmer design similar to the Apple Thunderbolt Display. Ivy Bridge and maybe even 8 GB RAM standard. Possibly also bumped to 23.5 and 30 inch displays. Comes with no optical drive or hard drive, or even an option to install an internal hard drive. 128 GB or even just 64 GB SSD standard, especially if Apple also markets a new external drive peripheral or Time Capsule for always on networked media libraries. New Bluetooth 4.0 peripherals including keyboard with even slimmer profile, new Magic Mouse, and Magic Trackpad. Possibly a keyboard with integrated Magic Trackpad that will also work well as a single peripheral to have on your lap when using AirPlay Mirroring from a Mac to an Apple TV 2.

5. New Time Capsule

Though I don't think this one will happen, I wish Apple at some point would release a new external drive peripheral or new version of Time Capsule used for always on, Internet connected, networked storage. It would be a person's or household's own file storage and media library that could be connected to from their Wifi network or over the Internet from any Apple devices. If everyone had their own personal storage device that was always on at their home and Internet connected then they would only need 64 or 128 GB flash storage in all of their devices and would not need to pay for higher storage capacities on services like Dropbox, Skydrive, Google Drive, iCloud, and iTunes Match. Because of the money they can make and the investment in iCloud and iTunes Match they likely won't do this, so this is more my own vision of the way I wish things would go. But Apple could change the game if instead they switched course from everyone else and instead offered hardware for a person to host their own simple always on file library and server at their home instead of relying on pay cloud storage services like Dropbox and iCloud.

What I'll Buy

I'd probably buy an iWatch if it was made and sold for $199 or less as it would be pretty cool, though I might wait for version 2 like I did with both the iPod Touch and iPad. I also have an iPad 2 and the new Apple TV, so Apple is obviously reeling me in to buy their stuff like they are much of the population. But really what I'm excited for and really ready to buy is a new iPod Touch if it comes out this year with an all new design. I still have a 2G iPod Touch, which is the only iPod I've ever bought and of course it runs too slow and is getting old. Mobile computers dating back to the early Palm Pilots are really what has always fascinated me. Even with how common they've become as they've evolved into subsidized smartphones it is still fascinating to me to have a powerful computer in your pocket and hand, and it always will be. Before my iPod Touch I had a simple Palm Z22 that I liked just as much or more than my iPod Touch.

There is an outside chance I might spend the extra money and finally make the switch to Mac OS X from Windows 7 with the new iMac this year. I've wanted a completely silent desktop computer since only about 1992 and have been disappointed that computers have been so loud and hot in the last 20 years, and that it has taken so long for quiet and cool computers to be common. Though I know they are already very quiet, the new iMac or Mac Mini could finally offer a really silent desktop at a reasonable price if they are sold with an SSD as standard at their current price and with Ivy Bridge bringing some more improvements in thermal efficiency. That, along with so many other well known reasons that have made Macs a much better option in the last 5 years, I might finally be pursuaded to make the Switch and get my first Mac. But maybe I'll just stick with Windows 7 for a couple years until about 2014 when some new version of Mac OS or Windows 9 are running on 64 bit ARM processors, don't even need any fans, and 256 GB SSD drives are in cheap machines. But I just don't know if I can stand my current Windows machine sounding like a jet engine is on all the time under my desk now that I'm used to completely silent iPods, iPads, and Apple TVs.

• If Apple does release a new 5-7 inch iPod Touch this Thursday I think it could have a resolution of 1920x1280.
• That would be double the current retina display. All of the iPhone apps would work on it, but not the iPad apps.
• A possible name for the device could be iBook, the name previously used for their consumer and education focused laptops in the early 2000s.
• If they release an iPod between 4-5 inches it will probable stick with the same 960x640 resolution.

This is a response to a great blog post by Joe Hewitt entitled Airplay TV.

Thoughts

• I agree that it won't matter if people have cable or DVDs in the future when the real IPTV comes, which looks to be more about apps on smart TV devices which could eliminate the need for a traditional set top box with "On Demand" or "IPTV" services.
• However, I wonder if Airplay isn't just a temporary solution, though a pretty good temporary one.
• The real improvement to some of the limitations he talks about may come with a new version of Apple TV that doesn't need Airplay and another iOS device to work, but just works on its own with its own user interface improvements.

That Apple TV May Have The Following

• A wand gyroscopic remote with trackpad.
• A version of iOS with an improved user interface which works with the remote from 10 feet away.
• Its own App Store for apps and games which work with the remote.
• Possibly a "TV" app that has a guide with content providers for live channels as well as previous archived shows for a price.
• Possibly a camera and microphone for FaceTime and Siri input as well.

The Wand Gyroscopic Remote May Have The Following

• A single power button to turn on the TV.
• Tilt up, down, left and right to highlight items on screen.
• Other waving gestures could perform different commands.
• Trackpad to perform clicks and other gestures with thumb.
• Possibly a touchscreen on opposite side of trackpad for keyboard, landscape game controls, and other controls when needed.
• Possibly remotes that include the touchscreen on the opposite side could be sold as an accessory since the cost would be more than with just a trackpad and people would need multiple gaming remotes.

I don't like pop ups, tooltips, mouseover menus, and information popups used in the design of software and websites.

On Windows 95 and 98 I used a program called TweakUI to disable tooltips throughout the operating system, but I miss it when using Windows 7. So I don't think I have ever really liked tooltips or mouseovers, but having used iOS for a couple years now I feel even stronger about this. I feel that tooltips or anything that automatically pops up in a little window or changes the interface when you move your mouse over it is distracting to the user interface and gets in the way of the user interacting with the computer. I think if software and websites were designed completely without mouse rollover effects and tooltip popups that the user's experience with computers would benefit greatly.

What Is A Tooltip Or Mouseover?

First of all I'll define what I mean by a tooltip or mouseover so you know what I am talking about. I am referring to any time you move your mouse over an object on screen and anything on the screen other than the mouse cursor changes. A simple mouseover effect on a menu or button can be useful and not too intrusive, but it is the simplest type of mouseover. A link on a website being underlined when you move your mouse over it is another example that isn't too annoying. A tooltip such as used often in Microsoft Windows supposedly to provide you help with what you will be clicking on is a bit annoying. A little window popup of information when you move over a link or other object is even more annoying. Special OS features like a small window of an application showing when you move your mouse over it on the taskbar is also a mouseover. All of these I refer to as mouseovers and while it may seem extreme I think all of these should be eliminated from user interface design.

1. The Interface Actions Should Be Simple And Clear

We simply don't need extra information coming up on a mouseover because the interface should clearly show where the user should click the mouse to provide actions or more information. We can now design interfaces that are more simple and clear so that people understand where they need to click. They can see the menu, the buttons, the links, and any other information that they need to click. Rollovers might look fancy but at this stage in human computer interaction and software design if a user does not know where to click simply by looking at the screen then the design of the software is very poor.

2. Users No Longer Need A Guide

When computers were text based like DOS we didn't have tooltips. Then the graphical user interface was created and became extremely popular especially with Windows 95. When the graphical user interface was created it provided so much for designers and developers of software. There was no limit to what they could do. They could provide all kinds of features, more information, and special effects. I suppose they thought we needed to provide people help for what they were clicking on or what they might want to do. However, now that users have been using computers for at least fifteen years we no longer need to be held by the hand. People know where they need to click to access menus or get more information.

3. Popups Get In The Way Of What You Are Doing

This is the real problem with any kind of mouseover. Remember when you would browse the internet in 1998 and all these windows would pop up with advertisements? It was extremely annoying and became a real problem. It got in the way of what the user was actually trying to do. While they aren't quite as annoying, tooltips and mouseovers have the same problem. Often the user is just moving their mouse around on the screen and something changes or pops up on different parts of the interface. This happens way too often in many operating systems, applications, and websites. It simply gets in the way of what the user is actually trying to do and the actions they are trying to initiate themselves.

4. The Visual Change In The Interface Is Distracting

Two of the common principles that I have read about technology, and life in general, over the last ten or more years is that things need to be simpler and less distracting. My first point above addresses the fact that mouseovers don't encourage simplicity, but mouseovers are also distracting. Just like everyone talks about multiple applications, instant messaging, and other multitasking as being distracting, interface changes within a single piece of software is distracting. All of the visual changes in the interface that happens when the user simply moves their mouse on screen very subtly distract the user from what they are doing. By the way, I also feel that the blinking cursor on screen should go for this same reason and I don't understand why we need it to blink.

5. Mouseovers Rarely Provide Really Useful Information

Besides being unneeded and annoying I find that mouseovers often don't provide much useful information anyway. Menu and button effects simply jazz up the interface but the user should already know to click there anyway. Even worse, buttons or links with tooltips and information popups could just be clicked on nearly as quickly to find out what they do or to find more information. I also don't really care to see a small little window of a video or a small screenshot of an application when I move my mouseover the taskbar. With all of these, the little bit of information given isn't worth it when it would take just as long to click on the object myself.

6. I'll Click It Myself If I Want To

The basic principle for my suggestion of possibly eliminating all mouseovers or popups is that clicking the mouse or the screen is simply better in all cases. The effort to click the mouse makes sure that the user is initiating the action and it is also not a time intensive action as it takes not much longer than moving your mouse over something. If I want to launch a menu I'll click on it. If I want to see more information on a link I'll click on it. If I want to switch applications I'll click it. We don't need things changing all over the screen trying to help us.

Conclusion

I think that the touch interface of iOS has brought many improvements. One of these has been the elimination of mouseovers since there is no mouse. Any changes of the interface are a direct result of the user touching the screen and initiating an action themselves. I believe this is a good design of software and that all operating systems, applications, and websites should adopt this behaviour. If the user always has to click or perform some other definite action to get something to happen the interface is less distracting, more simple and clear, and doesn't inadvertently get in the way of what the user is actually trying to do.

Here are some predictions for what I think could be launched at Apple's next media event. Most likely Apple will have an event to announce some media hardware and software like iPods in the fall of 2010 sometime around September.

1. The Entry Level iPod Touch Will Become More Affordable At $150 Or Even $100

I think Apple wants to get everyone onto their iOS mobile devices which basically includes the iPhone and iPod Touch. The main reason for this is they can sell apps, games, books and other content on these devices and they can really only sell music on the older devices like the iPod Classic and iPod Nano. Because of this I think they will drop the price of the entry level iPod Touch even more. Of course this would cut into the price of the iPod Nano which I'll talk more about in a bit. The iPhone 4 may be quietly updated with a 64GB version replacing the 32GB version too.

• iPod Touch 3GS - 16GB - $150
• iPod Touch 4G - 64GB - $300
• iPod Touch 4G - 128GB - $400

2. The iPod Classic And Possibly The iPod Nano Will Be Discontinued

I think the iPod Classic will finally be discontinued since the iPod Touch will now have a flash hard drive with 128GB of memory. It's pretty remarkable as it will truly be the end of an era for the hard drive based iPods without a touch screen which started 9 years ago in 2001. I also think that eventually the iPod Nano will be discontinued. My guess is that once the base iPod Touch hits the price of the iPod Nano at $150 it basically makes the iPod Nano redundant. I think that may happen this year, and if not in 2011.

3. The iPod Touch 4G Gets The iPhone 4 Redesign Including A Camera

This is a pretty safe bet. If Apple is unable to make an iPod Touch with at least the basics of the new design because of costs it will be a big disappointment. Finally the iPod Touch will get a camera, and it will include video recording. This would include a basic camera, basic microphone, Apple A4 processor, 512MB RAM, retina display, gyroscope, and 802.11n, among other features. I say basic camera and microphone because I think it may only get a 3 megapixel camera and one microphone unlike the 5 megapixel camera with HD recording, and two microphones for better noise cancellation that the iPhone 4 has.

4. The iPod Touch Doesn't Get 3G Cellular, GPS, Or A Front Camera

I think that the new iPod Touch will get pretty much everything the new iPhone has except for 3G cellular, GPS, and a front camera. Even though the iPad came in two configurations, one including 3G, I don't think the iPod Touch will in this new version. The iPhone will continue to be the higher end 3G version of the iPod Touch. Apple will continue however to try and sell the iPhone without a contract and try and make it so wireless companies are forced to offer affordable data only plans without a contract like they got done with the iPad. The iPod Touch may get a front camera too in order to try and get more people using Apple's FaceTime. However, I think they may only include it on the iPhone for now to separate the iPhone, keep prices down, and because the iPhone is really considered their communication device.

5. The iPod Touch Gets FM Radio And Possibly Internet Radio Stations

The iPod Touch will finally get FM radio if my Spidey senses are right. The iPod Nano already got FM Radio. Apple will include a way to tag a song for any stations that support it and then buy the song from the iTunes Store on the iPod Touch. I think it's also possible that Apple will integrate online radio stations into the iPod as well, similarly allowing the songs being played to be purchased directly in the iTunes store. They could include a separate radio app that integrates both FM radio and streaming Internet radio stations or include it in the iPod app. They won't include HD Radio for various reasons including that it is pretty much only available in the US as far as I know and it requires more power from the battery.

6. The iPod Touch Is Renamed

I think they could rename the iPod Touch. My guess is they could simply rebrand it as "iPod", though they could pick a new name. If they eventually do discontinue both the iPod Classic and the iPod Nano they could simplify the naming of the iPod Touch and give it the name it deserves as the real replacement for the original iPod.

7. A Significant Redesign Of The Apple TV Probably Won't Happen

I don't have enough of a hunch to guess what direction Apple will go with Apple TV or if they will release a new device this year. I've heard about the rumoured $99 device with 16GB memory that will rely more on streaming. But I'm unsure if that will happen as I think the syncing to a large hard drive is one of the better features of the Apple TV and adding a separate storage device as an addon isn't a very elegant solution. I think Steve could shut down that project if it is one. I also think they have had enough on their plates this year with the launch of the iPad, the major redesign of the iPhone, and a more significant update to their mobile OS with iOS version 4. Eventually they do need to make a big update for the Apple TV making it capable of being the only box by your TV in your living room. But I don't think it will happen this year, and so I think anything revolutionary for the Apple TV won't be announced this year. A price drop, a small redesign, and some update to the operating system could happen but I think they won't make a big deal about it. They won't add things like downloadable apps, a motion sensing remote, a serious entry into downloadable games, TV recording, or a web browser to play HTML5 video and browse websites.

8. The Entry Level Price Of Mobile Me Will Drop Significantly

I think that MobileMe may not become completely free as rumoured awhile ago but the price will drop significantly for the basic features. Apple likes to sell stuff and has never relied on displaying ads in their software as far as I know. If they can offer a service that people need and get most of the people that have a credit card and an iTunes account to pay even a small amount each year it is a large piece of revenue. If I had to guess I would say that an entry level Mobile Me account might be $5 or $10 per year. It could include about 10GB of storage and be good enough for mail, contacts, calendar, and notes. Of course a basic free service offering maybe just 1GB is also very possible and would have the added benefit of getting many more people signed up. I think even then it will require an iTunes account.

9. An Online Music Syncing Service Is Integrated Into Mobile Me

I think that Apple will launch the much rumoured iTunes online music syncing and streaming service this year. I think it will be integrated into Mobile Me and allow you to upload your music and keep it synced to multiple devices like the iPod Touch and iPad. A higher priced subscription to Mobile Me would allow for more storage. If I had to guess I would say $50 for 128GB, since that could be the maximum storage of the largest iPod Touch. Other files such as documents, books, podcasts, and videos can continue to be synced with iDisk. While I think Apple will launch an iTunes syncing and streaming service I don't think they will offer either a music subscription service or a free ad supported Internet radio service of their own.

10. iTunes 10.0 Will Launch

It will include support to sync music and other files besides your email, contacts, and calendar to Mobile Me. Your music will be synced to the iTunes section of Mobile Me. Your apps may be able to be synced to their own area. On top of this it may also include support to sync your other files such as books, documents, podcasts, and videos to iDisk. For now they may just offer the ability to sync your music, but support for apps and iDisk will come fairly soon.

This is a respone to an article titled 'The world doesn't need an Apple tablet, or any other', by Joe Wilcox of BetaNews.

It's an interesting article where he basically states that tablet computers can't become as popular as PCs, laptops, mp3 players, and smartphones, because it is a niche product and is too much of a middle product between laptops and smartphones. He has some interesting points. Tablets have definitely had trouble becoming mainstream devices and part of that problem has been overlapping market segments and the fact people may not buy four separate computers including a desktop, laptop, tablet, and phone.

I disagree with his article though. The main reason that I believe tablets will succeed and become popular is because I think they will replace laptops for regular users. It's that simple. Eventually, a typical home user will have a desktop all in one computer, a tablet portable computer, and a mobile smartphone. They may have only one or two of them. So the addressable market is anyone who currently owns a laptop or netbook. Below are some points answering some of the questions he poses. These advantages that a tablet has over a laptop and other reasons are why I think Apple's tablet and other tablets will replace laptops and netbooks.

One Good Point Is That Tablet Computers Won't Have A Keyboard

Not having a regular keyboard is the big issue and a really good point. It was the same argument with the iPhone and makes an even better argument for tablets trying to replace laptops. But while touchscreen typing isn't as quick as a physical keyboard I think it will be good enough for a lot of people to provide the other benefits that a tablet computer gives you over a laptop. Also it will be better than an iPhone, allowing for four, six, or eight finger typing. That was a weird sentence I know. Anyway, there will eventually be small wireless keyboards that you can take on longer trips that work with tablets for whenever you can get to a desk and stand your tablet up. Or you can sync and do your longer typing on your desktop. I will admit that I think that touchscreen tablets that also have a keyboard like a traditional laptop will be popular for quite awhile, but I do think the great form factor of a tablet will be extremely popular as well and will win over every day users who don't need to type long articles. Just as now the iPhones and iPod Touch are quite popular but so are Blackberry devices and the Palm Pre with a hardware keyboard.

1. People Will Use An Apple Tablet To Do Everything That They Currently Do On A Laptop, But It Will Provide A Better Experience For Doing Those Things

It's not that new technology allows you to do new tasks usually, but it provides a better experience, is easier to use, provides a quicker way to carry out those tasks, and is more portable allowing us to use it in different places. A typewriter or paper and pen can help you write documents just like Microsoft Word can on a computer. A record player can play music just like an mp3 player can. But new and continually improving technology makes a better experience for completing all the tasks we do in life. Tablet computers will provide a better overall experience than laptop computers for many tasks, eventually replacing them or at least merging most of its technology with them. And it will certainly provide a better experience for many tasks than smartphones do, even if it is less portable.

2. A Tablet Has A Bigger Screen Than An Iphone And Also A Larger Keyboard

Screen size is a big determining factor in what the experience is like when doing things on a gadget or device. Again, a tablet's larger screen won't necessary allow you to do new tasks that an iPhone doesn't do, but it will make the experience better. A tablet will make reading, writing and watching videos much more enjoyable and simpler to do on a tablet compared to an iPhone. Many other tasks will be better as well including looking at pictures, browsing the web, email and communication, games, and shopping. Basically anything you use a computer for can be improved in some way with a larger screen. You can't underestimate how much screen size can improve an experience. The tablet will also have a larger keyboard and some other features that are better than the iPhone, such as possibly a webcam and a good video chatting experience. But the screen size alone gives it a completely different and better experience for many tasks than a smartphone.

3. A Tablet Computer Is More Portable Than A Laptop

Portability and size of computers are also big factors in determining your experience with a computer and when, where, and how often you will use them. Laptops, PDAs, and most recently netbooks and smartphones have allowed people to use technology while being more portable. A tablet certainly isn't as portable as a smartphone that you put in your pocket but it doesn't need to be. It's more portable than a laptop and easier to quickly take and use somewhere, whether that is to another room in the house, out for the day, or on a vacation. It's not a huge portability improvement like say a Palm PDA over a desktop computer. But it's still a substantial improvement, such as the Palm PDA was over the Newton's size, or current netbooks are over a laptop with a 15 inch screen. Not having to open the computer makes a tablet much more portable and easier to use on the go than a laptop. Remember those old Handheld PCs from HP and others that ran Windows CE and opened up like a tiny little laptop, before Pocket PCs were made. The Palm stylus devices and later Pocket PCs from Microsoft were so much better for quickly using. But tablets will also be lighter and skinnier than most current laptops and netbooks while still providing a good processor to perform tasks.

4. A Tablet Computer Has Proven Multitouch For Simplicity And Current Laptops Don't

Simplicity and ease of use when performing tasks on a portable computer improve the experience and make it more enjoyable to use. This will be the most drastic change that tablets provide over laptops and is the real reason why they will replace them. Pen computing and voice computing were overrated, in my opinion mostly because typing is quicker and a better experience. But touch computing and gestures was always underrated. We just needed two things. A general purpose user marketed device that allows you to use your finger to truly touch it, and an operating system built especially for touching it with your finger and making gestures. Apple did that with the iPhone and it has proven how great the experience is over a Palm PDA with stylus or a cellphone with physical buttons. Tablet computers will do the same thing by replacing laptops and netbooks that have a physical keyboard and open up, and the original Microsoft pen tablets that used a stylus. Again, the multitouch tablets will just make the computer more enjoyable and easier to use than laptops to do the tasks that you do on the computer.

5. Tablet Computers May Sync Easily With Desktop Computers

In my opinion this is really big and people haven't talked about it much. I think reviewers and users will realize how great that syncing their portable computer with their desktop is when they get a tablet. Syncing computers has been one of the biggest issues for people when deciding to get a desktop, laptop, netbook, or combination of them. And it has been a big headache to keep computers in sync and usually people use one computer as their main computer. I know that cloud computing is partially here and HTML5 is coming, but the ease of use and responsiveness of built in applications and syncing the information in them is still great. So being able to sync your desktop and tablet computer just as you have synced your Palm, PocketPC, iPod and iPhone will be a huge advantage. I'm personally really looking forward to this one, even though it means I need to buy a different program on the tablet, smartphone, and desktop.

6. Tablet Computers May Turn On Instantly And Last Longer On Batteries Than Typical Laptops

If tablets are made with an operating system to turn on instantly in everyday use it will be a major ease of use advantage. There is nothing like being able to instantly turn on a device. The batteries in tablet computers like the Apple tablet will also hopefully last quite long, at least compared to the 2-5 hours of typical laptops of the past. Having an ARM or other very low power processor, less components, and for now a smaller screen will allow for longer battery life than traditional laptops.

7. Portable Computing Is Not A Niche Product

Wilcox first argues that with the iPod and iPhone devices Apple pushed into established markets, but then says that tablets are different because they are a niche product. He lost me a bit on this one and I think he is mixing up comparisons a bit. He says that the Sony Walkman had been established portable music players for two decades and that mp3 players had been around for awhile but hadn't done very well. Then Apple created the iPod to improve the mp3 player and build on the established portable music segment set buy the Walkman and portable CD players. Agreed. He also notes that the iPhone did the same thing. It built on the established cell phone market but improved the smartphone which hadn't done very well yet. Agreed again. But then he states that tablets are different because they are a niche product.

Tablets are no more a niche product than mp3 players or smartphones. The established and addressable market that tablets are going for is portable computers such as laptops and netbooks. The iPod improved mp3 players and went after Walkmans, and the iPhone improved smartphones and went after cell phones. In the same way, an Apple tablet will improve on previous tablet computers that haven't done well and go after the laptop and netbook. So while the tablet market isn't established, the laptop market is, and it is laptops that tablet computers will eventually replace. Tablets and touch screen computing will be the future of portable computing. Bill Gates believes it, Steve Jobs believes it, and I believe it.

The world doesn't need an Apple tablet, or any other

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